IATA projects US$84B in airline losses this year

The International Air Transport Association’s latest report paints a dire picture for global airline finances.

IATA’s financial outlook for the air transport industry forecasts airlines will lose $84.3 billion in 2020.

Airline revenues will fall by 50% to $419 billion from $838 billion in 2019, and losses will ease to about $15.8 billion next year.

“Financially, 2020 will go down as the worst year in the history of aviation. On average, every day of this year will add $230 million to industry losses,” said Alexandre de Juniac, IATA director general and CEO.

“Provided there is not a second and more damaging wave of COVID-19, the worst of the collapse in traffic is likely behind us. A key to the recovery is the universal implementation of the re-start measures agreed through the International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO) to keep passengers and crew safe.”

IATA sees green shoots of a minor recovery but 2020 traffic levels are expected to be down by more than half compared to 2019.

Yields will be down by about 18% as airlines offer deep discounts to get customers flying again.

One bright spot is the fall in fuel prices.

IATA says jet fuel will account for about 15% of overall costs compared to more than 23% in 2019.